Sean t rcp twitter

Jul 5, 2018 · “Put differently, if you had placed Kennedy on the 1968 Warren Court, he would have appeared to be a freakishly right-of-center justice. For that matter, Souter probably would have voted with Harlan, who held down the right flank of that Court. 6/”

[Sean T at RCP, RT'ed by Nate Cohn] Reminder: don’t be a crosstab truther. You’re dealing with small sample sizes, sometimes subjected to multidimensional weighting. They’re …Jun 15, 2022 · @SeanTrende This is sort of how I felt seeing some of the shifts in Appalachia in 2010, or blue collar areas in 2016. Except this I genuinely didn't think I'd see for another 20 years or so. Just astonishing. 12:40 AM · Jun 15, 2022 236 96 1,051 81 Bookmarks Log in. Sign upLog in. Sign upSean T at RCP is a free elf. @SeanTrende. This is sort of how I felt seeing some of the shifts in Appalachia in 2010, or blue collar areas in 2016. Except this I …

“@jbview @yeselson I guess I feel like a representative doesn't lose by 35 points without seriously deviating from constituents' impressions of what they're about. But I think it's an interesting way of looking at it, and maybe her earlier campaigns don't conform to my expectations.”“Basic take on the Senate: There are 5 true tossups, with a handful of states on the periphery. Most of the R states have broken away in the last couple of weeks. So, for example, Budd v. Beasley might have been an upset pick, but it is going the wrong way. 1/”Jun 1, 2022 · “Any of the remaining three presents a strong case, to my mind. I don't think it's AotC though. OK, fine, "I don't like sand" is arguably the worst or second worst line in all Star Wars history. But if you pull the Padme/Anakin romance and ninja Yoda stuff, it isn't terrible. 2/” [Sean T at RCP, RT'ed by Nate Cohn] Reminder: don't be a crosstab truther. You're dealing with small sample sizes, sometimes subjected to multidimensional weighting. They're mostly useful for patterns that appear across multiple polls, not for disputing the topline's accuracy. twitterIn a technology-driven world, it’s hard to stand out on social media sites. Check out which brands are taking over the media with the ultimate social media strategy. General Electric stays relevant with gorgeous Instagram photos and science...In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users

“Even just having Snoke hint that there's a larger force behind him, and maybe having Ren meet Palpatine at the end of Episode VIII as a cliffhanger and then giving the explanation of how in IX would fix quite a bit. And that then brings us to VIII. 9/”May 31, 2022 · “We're reaching the end of the second quarter, which is when election outcomes are more-or-less baked in. At this point, you really have to have Republicans as overwhelming favorites to take the House with solid margins, and strong favorites to take the Senate.” Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende This MT-Sen scandal might just be an opening salvo that will get much worse but for now I suspect a hit piece from business insider about 15 year old Facebook pics probably helps in …Nov 8, 2016 · Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende. ... Still early, but she's running ahead of Obama in 7 of the 8 IN counties reporting. 11:50 PM · Nov 8, 2016 · Twitter Web Client. 225. On the fringes, Johnson seems to have weathered the storm in WI, and is probably headed for a third term, although a systemic poll error against Rs could create a ...

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When it comes to connecting with people, celebrities can’t get enough of Twitter. Having the ability to easily describe what you’re feeling can become addictive. If you let off too much steam, however, you might land yourself in trouble.“Those deep red counties in the southwest (Leip still uses the red = D, blue = R coloring)? Justice ran about 40 points ahead of Clinton. That's coal country. 3/”Replying to @apearlma@SeanTrende. My understanding has been that the public health officials want people to mask because they're worried about this sort of transmission. My basic sense is that this is headed toward vaccinated people not needing to mask. But we need to know definitively about whether they can.Advertising on Twitter can be a great way to reach a large audience of potential customers. With so many engaged users, Twitter provides businesses with the opportunity to target their desired audiences and share their message in an effecti...Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.

“But in a wave year, these will come into varying degrees of play. So if the generic ballot starts to reach R+6 or so (which is probably about right if Biden stays in the low 40s) you're suddenly in a scenario where about 30 seats suddenly come into play. 5/”Mar 29, 2018 · In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users “@RadioFreeTom @ThePlumLineGS Yeah, but you finally realized (b) was the most sensible path for that viewpoint.”“Even just having Snoke hint that there's a larger force behind him, and maybe having Ren meet Palpatine at the end of Episode VIII as a cliffhanger and then giving the explanation of how in IX would fix quite a bit. And that then brings us to VIII. 9/”Dr. Sean T at RCP, Ph.D.'s Threads - Thread Reader App. Aug 9 • 14 tweets • 3 min read. Save as PDF. Today is my son Judson's 16th Birthday.What occurred wasn’t a failure of the polls. As with Brexit, it was a failure of punditry. Pundits saw Clinton with a 1.9 percent lead in Pennsylvania and assumed she would win. The correct ...“The truth is, I think the Biden will have a better chance at re-election than the environment (whatever it is in 2024) will suggest, because Trump will make the election about him rather the environment. Should Trump lose the primary, he'll go nuclear on the GOP nominee.”Jun 29, 2022 · “On hearsay: First, it doesn't matter for right now, because this isn't a trial. At the same time, the hearsay rule isn't just some legal mumbo-jumbo, it's rooted in the common sense notion that you're more skeptical of evidence offered second- or third-hand. But first:” Nov 2, 2021 · “McAuliffe starting to get some more results above the line. Also, moving the threshold up to 85% reporting. City of Richmond hasn't started to come in yet, and Fairfax is still largely outstanding. This is still very interesting.” “Aside from the expense, this is a significant risk to human life in a disproportionately elderly body that already has some known cases. If he does this, the House should expel him (and anyone else who goes along with him).”

“One problem Biden has is that he doesn't have much "crawl-over-broken-glass-twice-to-vote-for-him" type support. That inoculated Obama and Trump from a total wipeout. He really could completely collapse.”

“Which was a huge miscalculation on his part (I remember some offical basically saying "no Republican president would be crazy enough to undo this." Oops.) Anyway ...Where there isn't a central constitutional argument, it isn't surprising that these justices might look askance at modifying Gingles. 2/ May 16 • 10 tweets • 3 min readOct 26, 2022 · “Look, it sounds like the debate is an utter disaster for him. But few will watch it, and it's a hard thing to go on the attack about without inspiring a backlash. This hurts Fetterman, but I don't think things have shifted all that dramatically.” “@DamonLinker Except the GOP didn't accommodate Trump. He won the nomination. In part because the GOP establishment kept bickering among itself trying to find someone to go one-on-one with Trump, backing Jeb. for reasons known only to God, and splitting the opposition until it was too late.”Sean Trende is the Senior Elections Analyst for RealClearPolitics. He is the author of "The Lost Majority: Why the Future of Government Is Up for Grabs and Who Will Take It," and …“One of the quiet stories under the hood is that Republicans are looking like they'll win the popular vote. Probably a popular vote swing of 5% (depending on how CA votes work out), swinging about 2% of the chamber. IOW, the generic polls are likely to be about spot on. Why? 1/”“@jbview @yeselson I guess I feel like a representative doesn't lose by 35 points without seriously deviating from constituents' impressions of what they're about. But I think it's an interesting way of looking at it, and maybe her earlier campaigns don't conform to my expectations.”“My take after three years in a poli sci grad program reading "the literature": People should use "suggests" a whole lot more, "demonstrates," "proves," "shows," "confirms" less. You can just give me my doctorate now for that compelling insight.”“Fox and Friends” airs Monday through Friday from 6 a.m. to 9 a.m. EST on the Fox News Channel. Viewers can connect to “Fox and Friends” on Facebook, Twitter, Email and Instagram. “Fox and Friends” provides a link directly on their website ...“@_Chris_Golding_ From what I understand this happened at the end of the fourth quarter, and it took a while to figure out exactly what was going on. All coaches (who are just parents) were horrified, but this is something there needs to be clear guidance on at a …

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In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“Anyway,that's why VIII is the worst main storyline film. It destroys too much of the main storyline to leave any hope of wrapping things up in the final film. In fact, if I learned that Johnson was intentionally sabotaging the series, it would make more sense than what came out.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“@billscher @ThePlumLineGS I still think the biggest threats to Ds in a non-filibuster universe are things that can get to the core of their power infrastructure: national right to work, school vouchers, limits on public sector unions, tort reform, etc.”Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende. ... Still early, but she's running ahead of Obama in 7 of the 8 IN counties reporting. 11:50 PM · Nov 8, 2016 · Twitter Web Client. 225.Sean Hannity has been married to Jill Rhodes since 1993. Hannity is a FOX News Channel host, conservative political commentator and author. Rhodes formerly worked as a columnist for the Huntsville Times. The pair have two children together."There are obviously answers to all of this -- if there weren't I would not have led with him losing four of five times or so. The point is, though, that he's not THAT far off where he needs to be to be back in this. 9/9"“@ThePlumLineGS @billscher So I'm pretty comfortable saying they'd have gotten something through absent the strictures of reconciliation. And remember, with regular order you don't have to go all-or-nothing. You can do a *ton* through appropriations riders, which give nervous members cover.”So we were probably already headed for a significant shift in seats, compounded by this. Add in that there's probably going to be a substantial movement of populations *within* states, and things are going to get bad, real quick. 2/In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users ….

Log in. Sign upSean Strickland has a very straightforward opinion on his first possible title defense.. The next UFC middleweight title fight was seemingly decided at UFC 294 in …If you are a fan of political commentary and news analysis, tuning in to watch Sean Hannity live can be a valuable experience. When you watch Sean Hannity live, you gain access to real-time updates on breaking news stories and current event...Sean Hannity is a conservative talk show host who can be heard on the radio, on his podcasts and on his own show on Fox News. There are a couple ways that you can try and get in contact with him, if you so desire.“Could just be a bump in the road, but feels like things could get real, real quick. Or maybe it's just general PTSD from COVID-related stuff.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersIt's pretty amazing that we have a grand total of 3 decent, non interest-group sponsored polls of Fetterman-Oz. 08 Aug 2022 “Think of it this way: We're in a river channel right now with levies on either side, and the river is rising. As long as we stay in the channel seat losses will be surprisingly muted. But if the river rises much higher, all hell breaks loose …“Fox and Friends” airs Monday through Friday from 6 a.m. to 9 a.m. EST on the Fox News Channel. Viewers can connect to “Fox and Friends” on Facebook, Twitter, Email and Instagram. “Fox and Friends” provides a link directly on their website ... Sean t rcp twitter, [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1]